World War IV : The Uncontrollable Paradigm Shift
September 17, 2004
Part I: Joining the Battle
On September 11, 2001 planet earth embarked in earnest on what I believe to be
World War IV. The Cold War fought directly and by proxy between the USA and the
West against the USSR and World Communism being World War III.
World War IV began as the War on Terrorism. Its proper name is Operation
Enduring Freedom and the United States engaged in actual ground combat in this
war when US Special Forces entered northern Afghanistan and began organizing,
training and fighting with the Northern Alliance against the radical Muslim
Taliban and alQaeda fighters who were primarily responsible for the attacks of
September 11, 2001. We took the prosecution of the war in a military tactic
known as preemptive strike to Afghanistan to remove their biggest base of
operations. Ultimately as forces were amassed regular ground combat troops like
the light infantry 10th Mountain Division, the elite "All American's of
the 82nd Airborne Division and the "Screaming Eagles" of the 101st
Air Assault Division of the US Army and thousands of US Marines entered the
ground war an obliterated the rag tag armies of the terrorist enemy and their
benefactors. Afghanistan remains a battleground with intermittent alQaeda
terrorist attacks and an unruly group of Afghan warlords hampering efforts to
bring the peace the Afghan people want.
As a part of Operation Enduring Freedom in southwest asia, the recent
continuation of the 1991 Gulf War, also known as Desert Storm to Liberate
Kuwait, began in March 2003. Named Operation Iraqi Freedom this war removed the
absolutely barbaric regime of Saddam Hussein and the threat it posted to the
entire region in about 45 days. Combat Operations continue to this day, but for
all intents and purposes the regime of Saddam was destroyed in one months time
from April 19th to May 1st 2003. Virtually the entire massed might of active
duty US ground troops with heavy armor and overwhelming air superiority
annihilated the Russian trained and equipped army of Republican Guard divisions
of Saddam's military.
As the opening strike's of this new world war these major land combat
operations in Afghanistan and Iraq demonstrated to the enemies of freedom that
America and its allies still possessed enormous military power. It showed the
world that after 8 years of military cutbacks and downsizing America still had
the strength and the will to strike back at implacable foes on their own turf
half way around the world, even when one of the enemies in Saddam's were
assisted by states allegedly on our side, or at least who publicly professing
to be on our side. A new book by Bill Gertz entitled "Treachery"
reveals that "an initial accounting by the Pentagon in the months after
the fall of Baghdad revealed that Saddam covertly acquired between 650,000 and
1 million tons of conventional weapons from foreign sources. The main suppliers
were Russia, China and France." We also know that during combat between
US-led coalition air forces and the Iraqi defenders around Baghdad Russian
technicians were manning Saddam's most recent air defense acquisitions -
Russian made GPS jamming devices. The presence of these Russian military
technicians so incensed the US that President Bush called Vladimir Putin and
told him point blank that we were going to be killing his people if they were
not removed from Iraq immediately. Finally on Sunday April 6th just days before
US ground forces entered the Baghdad region a Russian diplomatic convoy bolted
from the captial and immediately ran into US forces closing in from the west.
The convoy was fired upon by US forces but continued with extreme urgen cy,
completely refusing to stop on orders from US forces. This convoy removed
itself from immediate danger and stopped in a town a little further to the
west, a twon now familiar to the world as the most virulent of anti-American
post war violence - Fallujah. In Fallujah the Russian technicians were warmly
greeted and given all possible assistance, including medical attention. The
convoy reported the incident to the Russian Embassy in Damascus Syria and
stated that all was well.
The point of this is to demonstrate that virtually from the onset of this war
our so-called allies have been acting directly against us, aiding and abetting
our enemies. Such actions are nothing less than international treason with
respect to public pronouncements of support and condolence following the events
of September 11, 2001. However one should not be surprised at these events for
there exists a tangible, continuing record of other events which told many
observers at the onset that this war would become a real world war, not just
against radical Islamic terrorists, but against other states which support
them. Afghanistan was the first, then Iraq and now it appears to this writer
that Russia is another such an enemy of America, and that in the course of
recent events and subsequent to them further events and spoken words indicate
that the War on terror may very well become an uncontrollable paradigm shift of
World War IV in very short order.
Part II: Historical Perspective
America's terrorist enemy has been the global terrorist organization al Qaeda
or Qaedat al-Jihad. It had been led from the beginning by Osama bin Laden. In
the late 1990's another radical Islamist from Egypt fused his Egyptian Islamic
Jihad organization into Osama's. This man is Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri. There is an
interesting part of al-Zawahiri's background which the vast majority of
American's are totally ignorant of. I will attempt to remedy this vacuum of
pertinent information with a brief historic al perspective from the writing of
Mr. J.R. Nyquist and Evgenii Noikov.
To begin with Noikov wrote the following in The Jamestown Foundation in January
of this year:
"The Arabic television channel Al Jazeera broadcast an audiotape on
December 19, 2003, that was said to be from Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri, the right
hand man of al Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden. In it, Zawahiri claimed that his
group was chasing Americans everywhere, including in the United States. This
claim helped raise the terror threat level."
Mr. Noikov continues by stating that Russian intelligence knows exactly where
al-Zawahiri is because they probably remain in direct communication with
him.
Why?
The answer is because in December of 1996 the Russian Federation intelligence
service, the FSB/KGB, took Dr. Ayman al-Zawahiri into custody while he was
visiting Chechnya and kept him for the next six months, finally releasing him
in May of 1997. This time under total Russian FSB/KGB control significantly
altered al-Zawahiri's focus of terrorist operations. As Noikov writes, this
"led to a change in Zawahiri's political orientation. Long talks with
Russian intelligence officers "forced a critical change in his lethal
planning. ...America, not Egypt, became the target."
None should find it odd them that within a very few days of the ending of the
situation at the school in Beslan, Russia and two days prior to the third
anniversary of 9/11 Ayman al-Zawahiri should appear on al-Jazeera television
speaking about terrorist operations against America. None should also find it
strange then that al-Zawahiri's words were preceded by just as few days with
words, actions and deeds of President Vladimir Putin (I should say Tsar because
he rules Russia by decree these days) of Russia. Besides being the President of
the Russian Federation Vladimir Putin is also a long time FSB/KGB officer.
For further information on this incredib le information I turn now to an
article written by Mr. J.R. Nyquist in July of 2002 entitled Ayman
al-Zawahiri's Russian Adventure .Mr. Nyquist, whose website www.jrnyquist.com
contains outstanding intellectual thought and research on this and other
subject matter of your immediate consideration and concern, had this to day in
the article I reference above:
"An inconsistency in the story of Zawahiri's Russian adventure also
appears in the fact that he did not simply go to "independent"
Chechnya, but was arrested after crossing over into Russian-held Dagestan. In
addition, Higgins and Cullison tell us that Zawahiri arrived in Russia after
visiting China where he had money dealings with a mainland Chinese bank in
Guangdong province. One ought to ask what kind of Islamist sets up a command
center in Bulgaria, does banking in China and pays extended visits to Russia?
"
Nyquist continues: " Radical Islam was long ago infiltrated by Moscow's
agents -- as evidenced by East German and Cuban support for the Saudi Islamists
who attacked the Grand Mosque in 1979, as well as the KGB's clandestine role in
provoking the Iranian hostage crisis during the Carter administration (see
Bodansky's Bin Laden: The Man Who Declared War on America, p. 9). It is
therefore unlikely that the Russians would fail to identify Zawahiri (as he was
the most important Egyptian terrorist in the Islamist movement). They knew they
had an Arab in custody. Any Arabist in the Russian intelligence service would
be able to tell an Egyptian from a local yokel. Furthermore, since Moscow was
secretly supporting the Serbs against the Bosnians in Yugoslavia, the Kremlin
could not have missed Zawahiri's activities in organizing resistance to the
Moscow-backed Yugoslav central government. But things are not so simple in
"former" communist countries. As with the Chechen War, the civil war
following the breakup of Yugoslavia has an interesting pre-history in the l
iterature of Russian grand strategy."
I urge the reader to read that article by Mr. Nyquist in full, several times in
fact until its profundity finally hits home. That profundity that I speak of
can best be surmised with one final sentence from JR:
Given Zawahiri's travels to Russia and China, given the full context of
Russia's double game in Chechnya (described in last week's column), we ought to
entertain the possibility that China and Russia secretly supported the
terrorists who attacked America on 9/11.
And that Ladies and Gentlemen bring us to the here and now -- August, September
and October 2004 -- and the events we are currently living through and which
will shape our world in ways we can hardly fathom, yet I see will
unquestionably be The Uncontrollable Paradigm Shift of World War IV.
Part III: The Chechen Connection
It is my belief that one of the direct causes of the end of the Cold War (WWIII)
in addition to the massive defense build-up of the U.S. Reagan Administration
was the clandestinely controlled disintegration of the Union of Soviet
Socialist Republics. This intricate plan of deception can be found in two
related and sequential books on the subject by the highest-ranking KGB
operative ever to defect to the West, Mr. Anatoliy Golitsyn. His works entitled
"New Lies For Old" and "The Perestroika Deception" are
uncanny in their "predictions" -- which aren't really predictions as
much are they are informed insight and direct knowledge. One of the key points
made by Golitsyn was that there would be a staged ollapse of Communism in
Eastern Europe and in the USSR itself. This clearly did occur as forecast by
Golitsyn, but the proof in the pudding is contained in a quote by Mikhail
Gorbachev in a speech made to the Soviet Politboro in 1987:
"Gentlemen, comrades, do not be concerned about all you hear about
glasnost and perestroika and democracy in the coming years. These are primarily
for outward consumption. There will be no significant internal change within
the Soviet Union, other than for cosmetic purposes. Our purpose is to disarm
the Americans and let them fall asleep."
Indeed, and a great many of us have been slumbering ever since. However, in
recent years many of us have awoken to the reality of this deception and the
words of writers such as Golitsyn, Nemets, Lunev, Noikov, Nyquist and others
have served as a everlasting tablet of Maximum Strength NoDoz. But we also have
current events with which to use as indications of the continuing plot whose
ultimate objective it is to subjugate America within a world order of
totalitarianist socialism. The events in Russia of the past month which we are
all witnessing, but perhaps not paying attention to or understanding completely
for what they really are, are the greatest indicator we have that the plan is
in its final phase of execution. The false front of what has been the political
situatin in Russia is now actively being scrapped by the real power in Russia ˆ
the KGB and its current head, Vladimir Putin.
One of the tools of the effort as has been mentioned earlier is terrorism, and
the USSR is the architect of the terrorism we continue to face. This terrorist
implement has also been used within Russia itself. There are strong indications
that one of the principle Chechen separatist leaders is a Russian GRU agent.
Concerning the school siege in Beslan, Russia, Shamill Basaev is reported in
Russian -- and subsequently in the West -- media as claiming responsibility for
that atrocity. Basaev was also blamed for the hostage situation at the Nord-Ost
musical performance in the Moscow theater incident of 2002. Basaev tells a
different story which can be found in The Jamestown Foundation website, and I
quote:
"Basaev said that the original target of the October raid on Moscow had
not been the "Nord-Ost" musical but the buildings of the Russian
parliament. Each of the two houses of parliament (the Duma and the Council of
the Federation) was to have been seized by twenty guerrillas. His account
claimed that the detonators brought into the theater by the hostage-takers had
turned out to be nonfunctional, as had the detonators in the hands of four
women rebels who had remained outside the theater. These four women, he wrote,
had managed to return to Chechnya, where he had personally spoken with them.
According to Basaev, he and his lieutenants are still investigating what they
clearly see as an act of deliberate sabotage. In their view, someone must have substituted
non-working detonators for those originally supplied, and they are now trying
to identify the possible traitor within their own ranks."
Another recent event was the granting of political asylum by the United Kingdom
of another Chechen whom Russia claims to be a terrorist, Akhmed Zakaev. Zakaev
is a political representative of Chechnya to the UK. In his report on the
Moscow theater slaughter he reported that "the Nord-Ost raid had indeed
been planned by Basaev, but that it had then come under the control of the
Russian special services. But unlike Politkovskaya, Zakaev opined that it was
the Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) rather than the intelligence arm of
the Russian military (the GRU) that had conducted this successful infiltration.
In Zakaev's view, which was reported by the website Polit.ru on April 28,
Basaev lost control of the hostage-taking party when it entered Moscow. He
identified Terkibaev by name, claiming that it was he who secured the rebel
group's safe passage into Moscow and who chose the theater as the object of the
group's attack. According to Zakaev's version, Terkibaev then slipped out of
the theater before it was stormed by federal commandos."
In light of the above, are we to take at face value reports coming from Russian
media that Shamil Basaev conducted the siege and mass murder at the Beslan
school? I think not. Yet the results of that operation are manifest in the
consolidation of absolute power by Vladimir Putin and the KGB in the Kremlin.
They will also be manifest in what I believe will be a major Russian military
move to re-conquer the entire Caucasus region. The master puppeteers in the
Kremlin have decided to adapt the legitimate US policy of pre-empting terrorism
with forward deployment of military forces and engagement of the terrorist
enemy and the states which support them to their own purposes, and they are
masking this coming conquest with the charades we have seeing since August ˆ
the twin airliner disasters, Moscow subway bombings and Beslan. There is also
raw intelligence information directly from the mouth of a Russian general that
the US Pentagon is actively planning to detonate a nuclear weapon in the Moscow
underground and that recent bombings there were but a dry run. As events
continue to unfold in the coming days please keep that in mind because World
War IV is well underway and an event such as a "rouge" nuke going off
in the US or Russia will be the event which triggers the uncontrollable
paradigm shift of your current understanding and of the war itself. Rest
assured that if a nuclear weapon is detonated in the United States or in Russia
-- the weapon will most certainly be of Russian manufacture and the reason for
the detonation was hatched in the Kremlin as part of the final phase of their operation
to destroy America.
Sean Osborne, Network Analyst
Northeast Intelligence Network
www.HomelandSecurityUS.com